When Jonas Vingegaard and Tadej Pogacar faced off in the heat of July last year, the main question mark was whether Pogacar would be fit enough to mount a decent challenge.
This year, as the two cyclists prepare to write the next chapter of one of the greatest rivalries in the storied history of the Tour de France, the scenario has switched.
Pogacar, the two-time champion from Slovenia who finished behind Vingegaard the past two years, is in top shape ahead of Saturday's start in the Italian city of Florence. It is the form of the Danish titleholder that is worrying his team following the crash that wreaked havoc with his season.
“Of course, we don’t know how far he can go yet," said Merijn Zeeman, the sporting director of Vingegaard's team. "We are being cautious because he has not been able to race and his preparation has been less than ideal, to say the least.”
Vingegaard was hospitalized for nearly two weeks in Spain in April following a high-speed crash in the Tour of the Basque Country. He sustained a broken collarbone and ribs and a collapsed lung.
He has not raced competitively since that crash but will be immediately put to the test this weekend with an opening stage that takes riders through a series of tricky hills and climbs that could set the scene for an early battle between the top contenders.
Before the crash, Vingegaard was among the Tour favorites after dominating the race the past two years. It's now impossible to say how his body will respond over three weeks of intense cycling.
“We have worked together to get to this moment and, of course, I am very excited to see where I stand. I feel good and very motivated,” Vingegaard said.
As for Pogacar, he doesn’t ask himself too many questions as he pursues a rare double following his victory at the Giro d’Italia this season.
”It’s already my fifth time coming to the Tour and I’m really excited about it," said Pogacar, whose Tour preparations last year were hampered by a crash that left him with a broken wrist. “We’ve worked really hard all year as a team to prepare for this and we hope we can give everyone watching three weeks of exciting racing.”
Pogacar is arguably the most exciting rider of his generation, capable of winning on all terrains with an appetite for victory that has drawn comparisons with the great Eddy Merckx.
And as if his own talent was not enough, he will be supported by a UAE Emirates squad also featuring Juan Ayuso, Pavel Sivakov, Marc Soler, Nils Politt, Adam Yates, Joao Almeida and Tim Wellens.
“We’ve spent a lot of time together as a group training at altitude and put in a lot of hours in the saddle,” Pogacar said. "We’re in a really good place as a group. We just can’t wait to get started and hope to fight for the win.”
Vingegaard is also part of a strong squad, the Visma-Lease a Bike team. He'll be supported by the versatile Wout van Aert, a three-time cyclocross world champion whose Tour resume includes nine stage victories and the prestigious points classification. Matteo Jorgenson of the U.S. is also part of the squad alongside Christophe Laporte, Tiesj Benoot, Wilco Kelderman, Jan Tratnik and Bart Lemmen.
Behind Pogacar and Vingegaard, other contenders include Primoz Roglic and Tour rookie Remco Evenepoel, with the Ineos Grenadiers leader Carlos Rodriguez also in the mix.
For the first time since 1905, the final stage of the race will be held outside Paris due to a schedule clash with the Olympics. Because of security and logistical reasons, the French capital won’t have its traditional Tour finish on the Champs-Elysees. The race will instead conclude in Nice on July 21, five days before the Paris Olympics open.
The first stage in Italy includes more than 3,600 meters (11,800 feet) of climbing. High mountains will then be on the schedule as soon as the fourth day in a race that features two individual time trials and four summit finishes. There are seven mountain stages on the program, across four ranges. Riders will first cross the Alps during Stage 4, when they will tackle the 2,642-meter (6,562-foot) Col du Galibier.
There should be suspense right until the very end because the last stage, traditionally a victory parade in Paris for the race leader until the final sprint takes shape, will be a 34-kilometer (21.1-mile) individual time trial between Monaco and Nice.
Britain doesn't have a top contender for the yellow jersey. Across the Channel, all eyes will be on veteran sprinter Mark Cavendish, who has delayed his retirement in a bid to set a record for most career stage wins at the Tour.
Cavendish equaled Merckx’s record of 34 stage wins during the 2021 Tour, 13 years after his first success, and went close to winning a 35th in the seventh stage of the 2023 edition. But he crashed during the eighth stage last summer, breaking his right collarbone. He’s won the Tour's best sprinter green jersey twice and also claimed stages at all three Grand Tours — the Tour, the Giro and the Spanish Vuelta — and was the world champion in 2011.
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![FILE - The pack with Denmark's Jonas Vingegaard, wearing the overall leader's yellow jersey, passes the Arc de Triomphe during the twenty-first stage of the Tour de France cycling race over 115 kilometers (71.5 miles) with start in Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines and finish on the Champs-Elysees avenue in Paris, France, Sunday, July 23, 2023. (AP Photo/Daniel Cole, File)](https://image.bastillepost.com/1200x/wp-content/uploads/global/2024/06/Cycling_Tour_de_France_Preview_44146.jpg.webp)
FILE - The pack with Denmark's Jonas Vingegaard, wearing the overall leader's yellow jersey, passes the Arc de Triomphe during the twenty-first stage of the Tour de France cycling race over 115 kilometers (71.5 miles) with start in Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines and finish on the Champs-Elysees avenue in Paris, France, Sunday, July 23, 2023. (AP Photo/Daniel Cole, File)
![FILE - Slovenia's Tadej Pogacar, wearing the best young rider's white jersey, celebrates as he crosses the finish line to win the twentieth stage of the Tour de France cycling race over 133.5 kilometers (83 miles) with start in Belfort and finish in Le Markstein Fellering, France, Saturday, July 22, 2023. (AP Photo/Daniel Cole, FIle)](https://image.bastillepost.com/1200x/wp-content/uploads/global/2024/06/Cycling_Tour_de_France_Preview_80351.jpg.webp)
FILE - Slovenia's Tadej Pogacar, wearing the best young rider's white jersey, celebrates as he crosses the finish line to win the twentieth stage of the Tour de France cycling race over 133.5 kilometers (83 miles) with start in Belfort and finish in Le Markstein Fellering, France, Saturday, July 22, 2023. (AP Photo/Daniel Cole, FIle)
![FILE - Britain's Mark Cavendish grimaces in pain as he receives medical assistance after crashing during the eighth stage of the Tour de France cycling race over 201 kilometers (125 miles) with start in Libourne and finish in Limoges, France, Saturday, July 8, 2023. (AP Photo/Thibault Camus, File)](https://image.bastillepost.com/1200x/wp-content/uploads/global/2024/06/Cycling_Tour_de_France_Preview_12800.jpg.webp)
FILE - Britain's Mark Cavendish grimaces in pain as he receives medical assistance after crashing during the eighth stage of the Tour de France cycling race over 201 kilometers (125 miles) with start in Libourne and finish in Limoges, France, Saturday, July 8, 2023. (AP Photo/Thibault Camus, File)
![FILE - Netherland's Mathieu van der Poel holds his bike up at the finish line after taking first place in the Tour of Flanders in Oudenaarde, Belgium on March 31, 2024. (AP Photo/Geert Vanden Wijngaert, File)](https://image.bastillepost.com/1200x/wp-content/uploads/global/2024/06/Cycling_Tour_de_France_Preview_28478.jpg.webp)
FILE - Netherland's Mathieu van der Poel holds his bike up at the finish line after taking first place in the Tour of Flanders in Oudenaarde, Belgium on March 31, 2024. (AP Photo/Geert Vanden Wijngaert, File)
![FILE - Britain's Mark Cavendish celebrates as he wins the 21st and last stage of the Giro D'Italia, tour of Italy cycling race, in Rome, Sunday, May 28, 2023. (AP Photo/Alessandra Tarantino, File)](https://image.bastillepost.com/1200x/wp-content/uploads/global/2024/06/Cycling_Tour_de_France_Preview_60581.jpg.webp)
FILE - Britain's Mark Cavendish celebrates as he wins the 21st and last stage of the Giro D'Italia, tour of Italy cycling race, in Rome, Sunday, May 28, 2023. (AP Photo/Alessandra Tarantino, File)
![FILE - The breakaway group climbs Cormet de Roselend pass during the seventeenth stage of the Tour de France cycling race over 166 kilometers (103 miles) with start in Saint-Gervais Mont-Blanc and finish in Courchevel, France, Wednesday, July 19, 2023. (AP Photo/Daniel Cole, File)](https://image.bastillepost.com/1200x/wp-content/uploads/global/2024/06/Cycling_Tour_de_France_Preview_65338.jpg.webp)
FILE - The breakaway group climbs Cormet de Roselend pass during the seventeenth stage of the Tour de France cycling race over 166 kilometers (103 miles) with start in Saint-Gervais Mont-Blanc and finish in Courchevel, France, Wednesday, July 19, 2023. (AP Photo/Daniel Cole, File)
![FILE - Belgium's Wout Van Aert climbs as the Mont Blanc is seen in the background during the 16th stage of the Tour de France cycling race, an individual time trial over 22.5 kilometers (14 miles) with start in Passy and finish in Combloux, France, Tuesday, July 18, 2023. (AP Photo/Thibault Camus, File)](https://image.bastillepost.com/1200x/wp-content/uploads/global/2024/06/Cycling_Tour_de_France_Preview_89857.jpg.webp)
FILE - Belgium's Wout Van Aert climbs as the Mont Blanc is seen in the background during the 16th stage of the Tour de France cycling race, an individual time trial over 22.5 kilometers (14 miles) with start in Passy and finish in Combloux, France, Tuesday, July 18, 2023. (AP Photo/Thibault Camus, File)
![FILE - Primoz Roglic of Slovenia, center, wears the overall leader's pink jersey as he rides in the pack during the 21st and last stage of the Giro D'Italia, tour of Italy cycling race, in Sunday, May 28, 2023. (AP Photo/Alessandra Tarantino, File)](https://image.bastillepost.com/1200x/wp-content/uploads/global/2024/06/Cycling_Tour_de_France_Preview_67680.jpg.webp)
FILE - Primoz Roglic of Slovenia, center, wears the overall leader's pink jersey as he rides in the pack during the 21st and last stage of the Giro D'Italia, tour of Italy cycling race, in Sunday, May 28, 2023. (AP Photo/Alessandra Tarantino, File)
![Denmark's Jonas Vingegaard, center, and Visma-Lease a Bike fellow team riders went for training near Florence, Italy, Thursday, June 27, 2024, two days before the start of the Tour de France cycling race. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)](https://image.bastillepost.com/1200x/wp-content/uploads/global/2024/06/Cycling_Tour_de_France_26963.jpg.webp)
Denmark's Jonas Vingegaard, center, and Visma-Lease a Bike fellow team riders went for training near Florence, Italy, Thursday, June 27, 2024, two days before the start of the Tour de France cycling race. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
![Denmark's Jonas Vingegaard, left, and Slovenia's Jan Tratnik, center, and other Visma-Lease a Bike fellow team riders went for training near Florence, Italy, Thursday, June 27, 2024, two days before the start of the Tour de France cycling race. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)](https://image.bastillepost.com/1200x/wp-content/uploads/global/2024/06/Cycling_Tour_de_France_83269.jpg.webp)
Denmark's Jonas Vingegaard, left, and Slovenia's Jan Tratnik, center, and other Visma-Lease a Bike fellow team riders went for training near Florence, Italy, Thursday, June 27, 2024, two days before the start of the Tour de France cycling race. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
![FILE - Slovenia's Tadej Pogacar, wearing the pink jersey of the race overall leader, indicates five, the numbers of Giro' stages he has won so far, as he crosses the finish line to win the 16th stage of the Giro d'Italia cycling race, from Livigno to Santa Cristina Val Gardena (Monte Pana), Italy, Tuesday, May 21, 2024. (Marco Alpozzi/LaPresse via AP, File)](https://image.bastillepost.com/1200x/wp-content/uploads/global/2024/06/Cycling_Tour_de_France_Preview_57600.jpg.webp)
FILE - Slovenia's Tadej Pogacar, wearing the pink jersey of the race overall leader, indicates five, the numbers of Giro' stages he has won so far, as he crosses the finish line to win the 16th stage of the Giro d'Italia cycling race, from Livigno to Santa Cristina Val Gardena (Monte Pana), Italy, Tuesday, May 21, 2024. (Marco Alpozzi/LaPresse via AP, File)