China's incremental policy toolkit and economic stimulus measures have already achieved sounding results in the stock markets, which will translate into a boost to the country's high-quality economic development cause in the coming months, said a German finance expert on Wednesday.
Hubertus Vaeth has been closely watching the developments as managing director of Frankfurt Main Finance, an initiative aimed at strengthening Frankfurt's position as a global financial center. In an online interview with the China Global Television Network (CGTN), he emphasized that the policy kit's detractors have been left with little ground to stand on amid an ongoing investment rally.
"You see, in the beginning, a lot of observers called it too little or too late, but they get quieter by the day. I say, it's a right mix, beautifully timed. The package, actually be, between the central bank and the government, has been unprecedented. It has a volume of 1.5 percent of the GDP, and comprises a lot of instruments which I believe will be very effective. So, from the early responses of the stock market, you could clearly say it's been a big success, and it's been a very important move. Why am I saying that? Since the beginning of the year, and one which is a critical monetary aggregate -- the monetary aggregate that comprises basically cash and term deposit and demand deposit -- these have been a negative territory for a wide, and these moves now clearly give such a shift to liquidity in the market, so that's a big boost," he said.
Chinese shares extended their winning streak on Tuesday, the first trading day after the week-long National Day holiday, with the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index up 10.13 percent to open at 3,674.40 points.
Vaeth expressed his expectations that massive gains in the financial sector will soon help accelerate China's efforts to build an economy based on innovation and advanced production -- what policymakers in the country call "new quality productive forces."
"Of course, now it's a liquidity-driven rally, and it's been historic by proportions. One week with a rally of 20 percent, that has been a very, very rare scene to experience. But obviously, they have to trickle down. It will be now a liquidity-driven rally, which hopefully will be supported by the trickling down of that impact into growth, into long-term economic effects. This will take a couple of months to really see, and when you see high quality, it has to be a massive shift away from a real estate-driven economy to technologically led recovery and clean-tech-led recovery," he said.
'Beautifully timed' stimulus measures to boost China's tech-led development: German expert
China's real estate market has seen an upswing this month as homebuyer confidence recovers following a series of stimulus measures announced by central government departments and many local governments to boost the healthy development of the country's pillar industry.
Many cities announced that they would further optimize their local property policies, taking measures such as reducing down payment rates for both first-home and second-home purchases, lowering the purchase threshold for nonlocal buyers and adjusting existing home mortgage rates.
In east China, the coastal city of Weihai, Shandong Province and Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province both set a consistent minimum down payment ratio for loans on both first and second homes, slashing the minimum down payment for second-home loans from the previous 25 percent to 15 percent.
Tianjin Municipality's Binhai High-tech Industrial Development Area recently announced that eligible employees working in Beijing no longer need to meet pre-existing conditions to purchase a home and gain residence permits.
These measures are expected to drive China's consumer spending and bolster economic growth this year, said Yu Xiaofen, dean of the China Academy of Housing and Real Estate at Zhejiang University of Technology.
"Overall, market participants are shifting towards a more positive outlook and the effects of these policies can be expected. During this year's National Day holiday, over 100 cities, including Wuhan, Changsha, and Nanjing, organized various promotional activities such as an autumn seasonal promotion, housing expos and shows. We believe that these activities play a very positive role in boosting the interest of homebuyers, increasing willingness to purchase, cutting home buying costs, and restoring confidence in the market," said the scholar.
Thanks to these favorable policies, China's residential real estate market witnessed buoyant sentiment across major cities.
In Shenzhen, the populous tech hub of south China's Guangdong Province, a three-day real estate fair kicked off on Friday and attracted crowds of local residents and even homebuyers from surrounding cities. The fair followed the city's lifting of key restrictions on home purchases and lowering of the minimum down payment for first homes to 15 percent of the purchase price, and to 20 percent for second homes.
"Due to good policies and promotional activities, I made a special trip here," said a homebuyer from Zhuhai, a city just south of Guangzhou.
From October 1 to 7, a total of 1,841 new commercial houses were sold in the city, skyrocketing more than 660 percent from a year ago, according to statistics from the Housing and Construction Bureau of Shenzhen.
Guangzhou, capital city of Guangdong Province, scrapped all home-buying restrictions on September 30, making it the first time a city its size has lifted home purchasing requirements. Guangzhou has witnessed a substantial rise in the transaction volume for both new and pre-owned homes over the past weeks.
Wang Huan, director of a new housing project in the city, reported that their sales volume since the last day of September has exceeded 120 units, or three times the original sales target.
"After the purchase restrictions were fully lifted, the location of our project changed from a restricted purchase area to a non-restricted purchase area. So, our sales have shown significant growth since the first day of the policy implementation," he said.
Data showed that from October 1 to 7, new home sales in Guangzhou stood at 5,855 units, higher than the total sales volume of the entire August and September this year.
Meanwhile, the enthusiasm in the city's pre-owned housing market is also on the rise. Huang Anfu, the store manager of a real estate agency, reported that the number of property viewings and inquiries at his store has doubled compared to normal since the lifting of purchase restrictions.
China's housing market picks up amid bundle of stimulus measures
