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Too many wild deer are roaming England's forests. Can promoting venison to consumers help?

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Too many wild deer are roaming England's forests. Can promoting venison to consumers help?
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Too many wild deer are roaming England's forests. Can promoting venison to consumers help?

2024-11-12 13:07 Last Updated At:19:51

WINCHESTER, England (AP) — In the half-light of dusk, Martin Edwards surveys the shadows of the ancient woodland from a high seat and waits. He sits still, watching with his thermal camera.

Even the hares don’t seem to notice the deer stalker until he takes aim. The bang of his rifle pierces the stillness. He’s killed a buck, one of many wild deer roaming this patch of forest in Hampshire, southern England.

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A butcher works on a shoulder of venison at Ben Rigby's venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

A butcher works on a shoulder of venison at Ben Rigby's venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Venison carcasses waiting to be cut up into joints at Ben Rigby's venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Venison carcasses waiting to be cut up into joints at Ben Rigby's venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Deer carcasses are processed by butchers at Ben Rigby's venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Deer carcasses are processed by butchers at Ben Rigby's venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Deer carcasses hang waiting to be processed and at Ben Rigby's Venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Deer carcasses hang waiting to be processed and at Ben Rigby's Venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

HOLD FOR STORY BY SYLVIA HUI Ben Rigby looks at newly arrived deer carcasses at his venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

HOLD FOR STORY BY SYLVIA HUI Ben Rigby looks at newly arrived deer carcasses at his venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

A newly killed deer is hung on tree by Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

A newly killed deer is hung on tree by Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), carries a newly killed deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), carries a newly killed deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), aims at a deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), aims at a deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), looks for a deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), looks for a deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

A deer looks on before shot by Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

A deer looks on before shot by Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

HOLD FOR STORY BY SYLVIA HUI Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), looks for a deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

HOLD FOR STORY BY SYLVIA HUI Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), looks for a deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), loads a gun for hunting at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), loads a gun for hunting at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

FILE- A Stag in rut bellows in early morning mist Bushy Park southwest London, Saturday, Sept. 28, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

FILE- A Stag in rut bellows in early morning mist Bushy Park southwest London, Saturday, Sept. 28, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Deer rut in Bushy Park south west London , Friday, Oct. 18, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Deer rut in Bushy Park south west London , Friday, Oct. 18, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Edwards advocates humane deer management: the culling of deer to control their numbers and ensure they don’t overrun forests and farmland in a country where they no longer have natural predators. For these advocates, shooting deer is much more than a sport. It’s a necessity because England's deer population has gotten out of control.

There are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England’s public woodland.

That has had a devastating impact on the environment, officials say. Excessive deer foraging damages large areas of woodland including young trees, as well as the habitats of certain birds like robins. Some landowners have lost huge amounts of crops to deer, and overpopulation means that the mammals are more likely to suffer from starvation and disease.

“They will produce more young every year. We’ve got to a point where farmers and foresters are definitely seeing that impact,” said Edwards, pointing to some young hazel shrubs with half-eaten buds. “If there’s too many deer, you will see that they’ve literally eaten all the vegetation up to a certain height.”

Forestry experts and businesses argue that culling the deer — and supplying the meat to consumers — is a double win: It helps rebalance the ecosystem and provides a low-fat, sustainable protein.

While venison — a red meat similar to lean beef but with an earthier flavor — is often perceived as a high-end food in the U.K., one charity sees it as an ideal protein for those who can’t afford to buy other meats.

“Why not utilize that fantastic meat to feed people in need?” said SJ Hunt, chief executive of The Country Food Trust, which distributes meals made with wild venison to food banks.

An estimated 2 million deer now roam England’s forests.

The government says native wild deer play a role in healthy forest ecosystems, but acknowledges that their population needs managing. It provides some funding for solutions such as building deer fences.

But experts like Edwards, a spokesman for the British Association for Shooting and Conservation, believe lethal control is the only effective option, especially after deer populations surged during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The pandemic was a boon to deer because hunters, like everyone else, stayed home and the restaurant market — the main outlet for venison in the U.K. — vanished overnight.

“There were no sales of venison and the price was absolutely on the floor,” said Ben Rigby, a leading venison and game meats wholesaler. “The deer had a chance to breed massively.”

Rigby’s company now processes hundreds of deer a week, turning them into diced venison or steaks for restaurants and supermarkets. One challenge, he said, is growing the domestic appetite for venison so it appears on more dinner plates, especially after Brexit put new barriers up for exporting the meat.

“We’re not really a game-eating nation, not like in France or Germany or Scandinavia,” he said. “But the U.K. is becoming more and more aware of it and our trade is growing.”

Shooting deer is legal but strictly regulated in England. Stalkers must have a license, use certain kinds of firearms and observe open seasons. They also need a valid reason, such as when a landowner authorizes them to kill the deer when their land is damaged. Hunting deer with packs of dogs is illegal.

Making wild venison more widely available in supermarkets and beyond will motivate more stalkers to cull the deer and ensure the meat doesn’t go to waste, Edwards said.

Forestry England, which manages public forests, is part of that drive. In recent years it supplied some hospitals with 1,000 kg (1.1 tons) of wild venison, which became the basis of pies and casseroles popular with patients and staff, it said.

The approach appears to have been well received, though it has attracted some criticism from animal welfare group PETA, which advocates veganism.

Hunt, the food charity chief, said there’s potential to do much more with the meat, which she described as nutritious and “free-range to the purest form of that definition.”

Her charity distributed hundreds of thousands of pouches of venison Bolognese meals to food banks last year — and people are hungry for more, she said.

She recalled attending one food bank session where the only protein available was tinned sardines, tinned baked beans and the venison meals.

“There were no eggs. There was no cheese. That’s all that they could do, and people were just saying, ’Thank you, please bring more (of the venison),” she said. “That’s fantastic, because people realize they’re doing a double positive with helping the environment by utilizing the meat as well.”

A butcher works on a shoulder of venison at Ben Rigby's venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

A butcher works on a shoulder of venison at Ben Rigby's venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Venison carcasses waiting to be cut up into joints at Ben Rigby's venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Venison carcasses waiting to be cut up into joints at Ben Rigby's venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Deer carcasses are processed by butchers at Ben Rigby's venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Deer carcasses are processed by butchers at Ben Rigby's venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Deer carcasses hang waiting to be processed and at Ben Rigby's Venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Deer carcasses hang waiting to be processed and at Ben Rigby's Venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

HOLD FOR STORY BY SYLVIA HUI Ben Rigby looks at newly arrived deer carcasses at his venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

HOLD FOR STORY BY SYLVIA HUI Ben Rigby looks at newly arrived deer carcasses at his venison meat facility in Mundon, England, Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

A newly killed deer is hung on tree by Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

A newly killed deer is hung on tree by Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), carries a newly killed deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), carries a newly killed deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), aims at a deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), aims at a deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), looks for a deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), looks for a deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

A deer looks on before shot by Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

A deer looks on before shot by Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

HOLD FOR STORY BY SYLVIA HUI Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), looks for a deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

HOLD FOR STORY BY SYLVIA HUI Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), looks for a deer in a woods at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland.(AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), loads a gun for hunting at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

Martin Edwards, Head of Deer and Woodland Management at BASC (The British Association for Shooting and Conservation), loads a gun for hunting at Tichborne, east of Winchester in Hampshire, England, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Kin Cheung)

FILE- A Stag in rut bellows in early morning mist Bushy Park southwest London, Saturday, Sept. 28, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

FILE- A Stag in rut bellows in early morning mist Bushy Park southwest London, Saturday, Sept. 28, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Deer rut in Bushy Park south west London , Friday, Oct. 18, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Deer rut in Bushy Park south west London , Friday, Oct. 18, 2024. Wild deer numbers have dramatically multiplied in recent decades and there are now more deer in England than at any other time in the last 1,000 years, according to the Forestry Commission, the government department looking after England's public woodland. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)

Pro Picks is a weekly column where AP Pro Football Writer Rob Maaddi shares his picks for upcoming games. For all previous Pro Picks, head here.

The setup for two Christmas Day games means two games on Saturday in Week 16.

They’ll be potential playoff previews.

Patrick Mahomes and the two-time defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs host C.J. Stroud and the AFC South champion Texans in the first game Saturday.

Then, it’s Russell Wilson and the Steelers visiting Lamar Jackson and the Ravens in a battle for the AFC North.

Pro Picks likes the favorites in both matchups.

Line: Eagles minus 3

Jalen Hurts got Philadelphia’s passing attack back on track and the Eagles had a drama-free week as wide receivers A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith each had 100 yards receiving and a score. If Washington plans to take away the pass, the Eagles just hand it to Saquon Barkley. The Commanders barely escaped New Orleans with a win and Jayden Daniels got knocked around last week, getting sacked eight times. Things could get ugly if Daniels doesn’t get better protection.

BEST BET: EAGLES: 26-17

Line: Raiders minus 1

This game has more implications on the NFL draft. A victory would damage the Raiders’ chances of landing the top pick. The Jaguars would pick sixth right now and would move into the top five with a loss.

UPSET SPECIAL: JAGUARS: 23-20

Line: Chargers minus 2 1/2

The Chargers are reeling after losing two straight, three of four and allowing 40 points last week. The offense has been leaning more on Justin Herbert’s passing since running back J.K. Dobbins went down. The Broncos, behind rookie quarterback Bo Nix and a stingy defense, are moving closer toward their first playoff berth since winning the Super Bowl nine years ago. Los Angeles goes for a series sweep. The Broncos are 6-1 against the spread in their past seven games on the road and 5-0 ATS in their past five games overall.

CHARGERS: 23-20

Line: Chiefs minus 3

Mahomes plans to play with a mild high-ankle sprain as the Chiefs push toward a No. 1 seed in the AFC. Kansas City is coming off its first win by more than one score since Week 7. The Texans, who captured their second straight division title, are 6-6-2 ATS this season. The Chiefs are 6-8 ATS.

CHIEFS: 24-19

Line: Ravens minus 6

The Steelers are vulnerable against the pass and their passing game has been lacking without wide receiver George Pickens. Jackson and the Ravens have lost four in a row to Pittsburgh, but can move into a tie for first in the AFC North with a victory. The Steelers are 10-4 ATS this season, including 5-1 as an underdog. The Ravens are just 2-3-1 ATS as home favorites this season.

RAVENS: 23-18

Line: Bengals minus 7 1/2

Dorian Thompson-Robinson replaces Jameis Winston as Cleveland’s starting QB. The Bengals are wasting one of Joe Burrow’s best seasons. The Browns are 1-5 ATS in their past six games and have lost six straight road games. The Bengals are 15-5 ATS in their past 20 games vs. the Bengals.

BENGALS: 27-17

Line: Falcons minus 8 1/2

Rookie QB Michael Penix Jr. replaces Kirk Cousins as the Falcons fight for a playoff berth. If Penix simply avoids turnovers — Cousins has thrown eight picks in the past four games — he’ll be an upgrade. The Giants could have Drew Lock back as they continue their push for the No. 1 draft pick.

FALCONS: 24-16

Line: Lions minus 6 1/2

The injury-riddled Lions need to get through a game without losing another starter. They’re still in control of the No. 1 seed in the NFC but have no margin for error. Jared Goff became the first QB to throw five TD passes in a loss last week. The Bears have lost eight in a row and Caleb Williams looks defeated. The Lions are 6-0 straight up in their past six road games and 15-5 ATS in their past 20 games vs. division opponents. The Bears are 8-1-1 ATS in their past 10 home games.

LIONS: 33-17

Line: Colts minus 3 1/2

The Titans are turning to Mason Rudolph at quarterback after benching Will Levis. The Colts begin a three-game stretch against opponents that currently have a .190 winning percentage combined. Indianapolis should finish with a winning record, but that probably won’t be enough for a playoff berth.

COLTS: 23-17

Line: Rams minus 3 1/2

The Rams have won seven of nine to take control of their chances to win the NFC West. Matthew Stafford hasn’t been sacked in the past two games and he’s getting time to make plays. Aaron Rodgers is looking more like his old self for the Jets. It’s way too late to save New York’s season, but it could be a spoiler for other teams. Los Angeles has to be wary.

RAMS: 23-20

Line: Vikings minus 3

Sam Darnold and the Vikings are hot on Detroit’s trail for the NFC North title and the NFC’s No. 1 seed. They’re coming off a short week and face a tough challenge on the road. Seattle received good news on Geno Smith’s injury and also could get running back Kenneth Walker back from a calf injury.

SEAHAWKS: 22-19

Line: Cardinals minus 4 1/2

The up-and-down Cardinals are still in the mix in the NFC West, but can’t afford a letdown against Carolina. The defense has stepped up and Kyler Murray didn’t throw a pick last week after tossing five interceptions in the previous three games. The Panthers bombed as a favorite last week. They have to do a better job protecting Bryce Young and the league’s worst run defense needs to find a way to stop James Conner.

CARDINALS: 20-16

Line: Bills minus 14

Josh Allen is on a mission in Buffalo. The Bills still have a shot for the No. 1 seed in the AFC and they won’t take the Patriots lightly. Drake Maye is the only reason to watch New England.

BILLS: 33-16

Line: Dolphins minus 1

The 49ers are moving closer toward playoff elimination a year after losing in overtime in the Super Bowl. Miami’s defense bounced back after getting torched by Rodgers and the Jets only to see the offense come up short against Houston. Tua Tagovailoa has to protect the ball better after four turnovers.

49ERS: 21-20

Line: Buccaneers minus 4

Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans are clicking and the Buccaneers have won four straight to take control of the NFC South. They have to be wary of the Cowboys, especially Micah Parsons.

BUCCANEERS: 24-17

Line: Packers minus 14 1/2

Jordan Love has thrown no picks in the past four games and the Packers are locking in for the playoffs. The Saints have no chance of pulling off a massive upset.

PACKERS: 30-13

Last week: Straight up: 13-3. Against spread: 12-4

Overall: Straight up: 156-68. Against spread: 123-98-3.

Prime-time: Straight up: 37-13. Against spread: 27-22-1.

Best Bet: Straight up: 9-6. Against spread: 8-7.

Upset Special: Straight up: 8-7. Against spread: 8-7.

AP NFL: https://apnews.com/hub/nfl

Graphic shows NFL team matchups and predicts the winners in Week 16 action.

Graphic shows NFL team matchups and predicts the winners in Week 16 action.

Seattle Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith (7) warms up prior to an NFL football game against the Arizona Cardinals, Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024, in Glendale, Ariz. (AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)

Seattle Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith (7) warms up prior to an NFL football game against the Arizona Cardinals, Sunday, Dec. 8, 2024, in Glendale, Ariz. (AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) throws the ball during the second half of an NFL football game against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday, Dec. 15, 2024, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Derik Hamilton)

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) throws the ball during the second half of an NFL football game against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday, Dec. 15, 2024, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Derik Hamilton)

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