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Pro Picks: Lions will beat the Vikings in showdown for the NFC's No. 1 seed

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Pro Picks: Lions will beat the Vikings in showdown for the NFC's No. 1 seed
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Pro Picks: Lions will beat the Vikings in showdown for the NFC's No. 1 seed

2025-01-02 10:40 Last Updated At:10:51

The NFC’s No. 1 seed, two division titles and two playoff spots are on the line in Week 18 of the NFL's regular season.

Game No. 272 on Sunday night between the Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings is a showdown for the NFC North and the conference’s top spot. The loser drops to the No. 5 seed. The Lions hold the tiebreaker in case the teams tie.

The NFC South will go to the Buccaneers or Falcons. The AFC North will be decided Saturday. It’ll be the Ravens or Steelers. Both teams are in the playoffs either way.

The Broncos are in control of the AFC’s final wild-card spot. The Bengals and Dolphins hold onto slim hopes.

Pro Picks predicts the final week of regular-season games.

Line: Titans minus 1

The playoff-bound Texans are underdogs because they’re locked into the AFC’s No. 4 seed. But coach DeMeco Ryans plans to play his starters after Houston was embarrassed by Baltimore on Christmas Day. The Titans have the second pick in the draft at the moment and could move up to No. 1 with a loss.

BEST BET: TEXANS: 27-12

Line: Eagles minus 2

Saquon Barkley’s pursuit of Eric Dickerson’s 40-year-old rushing record got grounded. Eagles coach Nick Sirianni isn't planning to play Barkley and other starters because his team is locked into the NFC’s No. 2 seed. The Giants already potentially cost themselves the No. 1 pick by beating the Colts.

UPSET SPECIAL: GIANTS: 22-20

Line: Ravens minus 17 1/2

Lamar Jackson and the Ravens need a victory to clinch the AFC North and the No. 3 seed. The Browns have lost five in a row, currently hold the third pick in the draft and have a chance at No. 1 if the Patriots and Titans win.

RAVENS: 30-13

Line: Bengals minus 2

The Steelers have lost three in a row and could be eliminated from the division race by kickoff. If the Ravens beat the Browns, Pittsburgh will be either the fifth or sixth seed. The Bengals need a win and the Broncos and Dolphins to lose to sneak into the playoffs.

BENGALS: 24-20

Line: Falcons minus 8 1/2

The Falcons lost control of their NFC South hopes by losing to Washington. Atlanta only gets into the playoffs with a win and the Buccaneers losing to the Saints. The Panthers have improved over the second half, but were routed in Tampa Bay. They hold the sixth pick in the draft currently.

FALCONS: 27-17

Line: Commanders minus 4 1/2

Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has led an impressive turnaround in Washington, taking the Commanders to the playoffs. Coach Dan Quinn wants the team to play for the sixth seed so he's not resting starters. The Cowboys got destroyed in Philadelphia after an upset win over the Buccaneers.

COMMANDERS: 27-20

Line: Packers minus 10

Caleb Williams and the Bears haven’t won a game since losing on a Hail Mary pass to Daniels and the Commanders. They could snap that 10-game losing streak if Packers coach Matt LaFleur rests his starters. Green Bay can finish no higher than the sixth seed in the NFC.

PACKERS: 24-20

Line: Colts minus 5

With their playoff hopes on life support, the Colts couldn’t even beat the woeful Giants. The Jaguars currently have the fifth pick in the draft and would be better off losing.

COLTS: 26-16

Line: Bills minus 2 1/2

Josh Allen’s MVP resume is complete and the Bills are locked into the No. 2 seed, so coach Sean McDermott plans to rest some starters. Allen will start his 115th consecutive game and give way to Mitchell Trubisky. The Patriots have the No. 1 pick in the draft and shouldn’t jeopardize that. Benching Drake Maye is an option for New England, which could benefit from trading that top pick for more draft capital.

BILLS: 23-17

Line: Buccaneers minus 13 1/2

The Buccaneers are one win away from their fourth straight NFC South title. Baker Mayfield still has an outside chance to lead the NFL in TD passes. The Saints are wrapping up a nightmarish season and then will begin their search for a new coach.

BUCCANEERS: 34-17

Line: Broncos minus 10 1/2

The Broncos need a victory to clinch their first playoff appearance since winning a Super Bowl nine years ago. Standing in their way will be a bunch of backups led by Carson Wentz filling in for Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs clinched the AFC’s No. 1 seed and will be home for the playoffs to continue their three-peat quest.

BRONCOS: 26-23

Line: Chargers minus 5

Jim Harbaugh plans to play to win even though the Chargers are assured either the fifth or sixth seed in the AFC. The Raiders have won two in a row to fall out of the running for Shedeur Sanders unless they trade up in the draft.

CHARGERS: 24-17

Line: Seahawks minus 6 1/2

The NFC West champion Rams will be the third or fourth seed, so coach Sean McVay is resting Matthew Stafford and starting Jimmy Garoppolo. The Seahawks could finish with the same number of wins as the division champs but already lost the tiebreaker.

SEAHAWKS: 25-16

Line: Cardinals minus 4

The Cardinals were in good shape in the NFC West at 6-4, but lost five of six to miss the playoffs for the eighth time in nine seasons. The 49ers couldn’t overcome too many injuries and inconsistency and won’t be defending their NFC title.

CARDINALS: 26-20

Line: Dolphins minus 1

The Dolphins could go into a must-win game with Tyler Huntley again instead of Tua Tagovailoa, who has a hip injury. The Dolphins would make the playoffs with a victory if the Chiefs beat the Broncos. The season can’t end soon enough for Aaron Rodgers and the Jets.

DOLPHINS: 20-17

Line: Lions minus 3

This is the game Dan Campbell and the Lions have waited for since losing to the 49ers in last season’s NFC championship game. Getting the No. 1 seed has been Detroit’s goal and it’ll come down to beating Sam Darnold and the Vikings, who have been the surprise of the NFL this season. A tie also gets the job done for the Lions. Despite a shorter week after playing at San Francisco on Monday night, Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jahmyr Gibbs and the rest of the Lions have come too far to slip now. Detroit has been depleted by injuries, especially on defense, and keeps winning. Minnesota has won nine in a row and defensive coordinator Brian Flores’ unit presents a difficult challenge for the Lions’ dynamic offense.

LIONS: 30-26

Last week: 13-3. Against spread: 6-10

Overall: Straight up: 181-75. Against spread: 137-115-4.

Prime time: Straight up: 42-14. Against spread: 29-26-1.

Best Bet: Straight up: 10-7. Against spread: 9-8.

Upset Special: Straight up: 9-8. Against spread: 9-8.

Pro Picks is a weekly column where AP Pro Football Writer Rob Maaddi shares his picks for upcoming games. For all previous Pro Picks, head here.

AP NFL: https://apnews.com/hub/nfl

Graphic shows NFL team matchups and predicts the winners in Week 18 action.

Graphic shows NFL team matchups and predicts the winners in Week 18 action.

Minnesota Vikings' Sam Darnold congratulates Cam Akers on a touchdown catch during the second half of an NFL football game against the Green Bay Packers Sunday, Dec. 29, 2024, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)

Minnesota Vikings' Sam Darnold congratulates Cam Akers on a touchdown catch during the second half of an NFL football game against the Green Bay Packers Sunday, Dec. 29, 2024, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)

Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) walks off the field after a win over the San Francisco 49ers in an NFL football game Monday, Dec. 30, 2024, in Santa Clara, Calif. (AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)

Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) walks off the field after a win over the San Francisco 49ers in an NFL football game Monday, Dec. 30, 2024, in Santa Clara, Calif. (AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)

Detroit Lions head coach Dan Campbell answers questions after an NFL football game against the San Francisco 49ers, Monday, Dec. 30, 2024, in Santa Clara, Calif. (AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)

Detroit Lions head coach Dan Campbell answers questions after an NFL football game against the San Francisco 49ers, Monday, Dec. 30, 2024, in Santa Clara, Calif. (AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)

The New York Jets were scheduled to interview former Tennessee Titans coach Mike Vrabel on Friday for their head coaching vacancy, a person with knowledge of the situation told The Associated Press.

Vrabel will be the second known coaching candidate to meet with the Jets, who spoke to former Washington and Carolina coach Ron Rivera on Thursday.

The person spoke to the AP on condition of anonymity because the team only announces meetings with candidates after interviews are completed. The Athletic first reported Vrabel would speak to the Jets.

Vrabel is expected to be a highly sought candidate during this hiring cycle, and New York is getting a chance to sit down with him early in the process.

The 49-year-old Vrabel served in a consultant role with Cleveland this season, but his contract expired earlier this week — allowing him to interview with other teams.

The one-time All-Pro linebacker who helped New England win three Super Bowl titles was 56-48 in six seasons as coach of the Titans, including 2-3 in the postseason. He was fired by Tennessee after a 6-11 finish last season.

The Jets fired coach Robert Saleh on Oct. 8 when the team was 2-3 and replaced him on an interim basis with defensive coordinator Jeff Ulbrich, who is 2-9 heading into New York's season finale Sunday at home against Miami.

General manager Joe Douglas was fired six weeks after Saleh, and the Jets have also begun their search for his replacement. New York has interviewed Senior Bowl executive director Jim Nagy, former Atlanta Falcons GM Thomas Dimitroff, former Tennessee Titans GM Jon Robinson and ESPN analyst Louis Riddick for the GM job.

AP NFL: https://apnews.com/hub/NFL

FILE - Tennessee Titans head coach Mike Vrabel argues a call during the first half of an NFL football game against the Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday, Jan. 7, 2024, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/George Walker IV, File)

FILE - Tennessee Titans head coach Mike Vrabel argues a call during the first half of an NFL football game against the Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday, Jan. 7, 2024, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/George Walker IV, File)

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