Skip to Content Facebook Feature Image

Hezbollah-Israel conflict compounds Lebanon's economic woes

China

China

China

Hezbollah-Israel conflict compounds Lebanon's economic woes

2025-01-01 19:48 Last Updated At:21:17

The conflict between Hezbollah and Israel has compounded Lebanon's economic woes, and people in Lebanon are hoping for a new year with both political and economic stability.

Lebanon's real GDP growth has been cut by an estimated 6.6 percent in 2024 as a result of the conflict, bringing the cumulative decline in real GDP since 2019 to more than 38 percent by the end of the year, according to the latest World Bank Lebanon Economic Monitor (LEM) released earlier in December.

The United Nations Development Program (UNDP) estimated that the unemployment rate in Lebanon may rise to a staggering 32.6 percent by the end of 2024.

Israel's deadly attack targeting Hezbollah in September, in which thousands of handheld pagers exploded across Lebanon and Syria, sharply escalated cross-border hostilities between Israel and Lebanon that have persisted since October 2023.

"My coffee shop over there was destroyed in the blast which also damaged my car and house. My three children were in the rooms, and we were sleeping when the explosion happened," said Mansour, a coffee shop owner in Dahieh in southern Beirut.

Many restaurants in Beirut were forced to close since the conflict intensified.

An Italian restaurant has reopened after a suspension of around two months, and immediately it found itself caught in the plight of deteriorating energy shortage and currency devaluation.

"Those people (customers), they had their money in the banks. They tell us 'We love you and we love your food and everything, but we can't afford to go out and spend money,'" said owner of the restaurant.

"The political instability, the lack of security, and these are very important factors for any country which would like to attract tourism. The purchasing power has decreased a lot. We've also lost the most important aspect of our human resource. We've had the hope that we are going to have a great year with economic stability," said Maya Nun, an official of association of owners of restaurants, coffee shops, night clubs and bakeries in Lebanon.

Lebanon faced multiple crises in 2024, grappling with the aftermath of the destructive conflict between Hezbollah and Israel, a prolonged financial collapse since 2019, and ongoing political paralysis marked by the failure to elect a new president.

Already reeling from a financial crisis that has devalued its currency by over 90 percent since 2019, the country now has nearly 44 percent of its population living in poverty, according to the World Bank.

Hezbollah-Israel conflict compounds Lebanon's economic woes

Hezbollah-Israel conflict compounds Lebanon's economic woes

Hezbollah-Israel conflict compounds Lebanon's economic woes

Hezbollah-Israel conflict compounds Lebanon's economic woes

Next Article

ECB cuts interest rates by 25 basis points

2025-03-07 03:04 Last Updated At:03:17

The European Central Bank (ECB) announced on Thursday that it would slash key interest rates by 25 basis points in a bid to wind down the restrictive monetary policy.

Effective from March 12, the interest rates on the deposit facility, the main refinancing operations and the marginal lending facility will be decreased to 2.50 percent, 2.65 percent and 2.90 percent respectively, said the central bank in a statement.

The disinflation process is well on track, with headline inflation averaging 2.3 percent in 2025, 1.9 percent in 2026 and 2.0 percent in 2027, the ECB said.

The decision to keep on cutting rates came at a time when the economy in the eurozone is facing increasing uncertainties.

In its latest edition of the staff projections on Thursday, the ECB lowered its forecast for economic growth in the eurozone to 0.9 percent for 2025, 1.2 percent for 2026 and 1.3 percent for 2027.

This marks a downward revision from the ECB's forecast in December last year, which had projected 1.1 percent growth in 2025 and 1.4 percent in 2026, while the 2027 outlook remains unchanged.

The ECB attributed the weaker growth outlook for 2025 and 2026 to declining exports and sluggish investment, citing high trade policy uncertainty and broader economic instability as key factors.

ECB cuts interest rates by 25 basis points

ECB cuts interest rates by 25 basis points

Recommended Articles