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Omdia Forecasts Nintendo Switch 2 Will Sell 14.7 Million Units in 2025

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Omdia Forecasts Nintendo Switch 2 Will Sell 14.7 Million Units in 2025
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Omdia Forecasts Nintendo Switch 2 Will Sell 14.7 Million Units in 2025

2025-04-03 00:59 Last Updated At:01:11

LONDON--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Apr 2, 2025--

Omdia forecasts show that Nintendo Switch 2 will sell nearly 15 million units globally in 2025, following its confirmed launch date of June 5.

This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250402932786/en/

This would put the Switch 2 ahead of its predecessor by around 10% during its first calendar year on the market. Historical Omdia data reveals 13.4 million Nintendo Switch systems were sold in 2017, despite its earlier March release. The key factors driving this momentum include a strong user base – Omdia estimates 105 million Switch consoles remained in active use at the end of 2024, providing Nintendo with a solid foundation for the next generation.

A key first-party title also supports Omdia’s forecast. Mario Kart World headlines Nintendo’s first-party line-up for 2025, is exclusive to Nintendo Switch 2, and offers a visible generational leap over Mario Kart 8. Close to one in two Switch owners have purchased predecessor Mario Kart 8 Deluxe, making it the ideal sequel to attach to the new hardware.

However, although Switch 2 will exceed sales in the first year for the original Switch in 2017, Omdia believes that by year 4, Switch 2 will have sold fewer units than at its predecessor’s equivalent point. This is primarily down to the fourth year in the original Switch’s cycle coinciding with Covid lockdowns, which provided an enormous boost to the games industry.

Since Nintendo revitalized the dedicated handheld gaming devices market with the original Switch, new entrants such as Steam Deck, PlayStation Portal, and other PC handheld gaming devices have expanded options for players.

Yet the Switch and Switch 2 remain the only standalone platforms in this space – players must purchase the hardware to access Nintendo’s ecosystem of content. As a result, the Switch 2 is poised to cement Nintendo’s leadership in this space. Omdia’s Games Handhelds Sales Metrics Database currently forecasts that both Nintendo Switch and Nintendo Switch 2 hardware will command a dominant 85% share of handheld sales volumes in 2025.

However, Switch 2 will not be without challenges, not least in terms of Nintendo competing with itself throughout the lifecycle of the device. The company has released over 100 first-party titles for the original Switch, with around three-quarters of them selling at least 1 million copies each.

These games will be brought forward to the new generation, but most were already highly polished on the existing Nintendo Switch hardware.

“First-party software is the primary content driver for Switch hardware adoption, a stark contrast to PlayStation and Xbox,” said James McWhirter, Senior Analyst in Omdia’s Games team. “Nintendo will need to work hard to communicate a clear generational leap with the Switch 2 throughout its life cycle, as its new games will exist alongside the extensive library of previous titles that do not require a console upgrade for users to enjoy.”

ABOUT OMDIA

Omdia, part of Informa TechTarget, Inc. (Nasdaq: TTGT), is a technology research and advisory group. Our deep knowledge of tech markets combined with our actionable insights empower organizations to make smart growth decisions.

Switch 2 vs Switch installed base over time, cycle-aligned, millions

Switch 2 vs Switch installed base over time, cycle-aligned, millions

DARLINGTON, S.C. (AP) — Denny Hamlin did his job so his pit crew could do its most stellar stop at the perfect time.

Hamlin came into the pits after a final caution in third place and told himself to hit every mark, then let his guys take over.

And that's what the Joe Gibbs Racing group did, pulling off a perfect winning moment that sent Hamlin out with the lead. He took over on the final restart and held off William Byron to win the Goodyear 400 on Sunday.

It was Hamlin's 56th career NASCAR win, his fifth at Darlington Raceway and his second straight this season

“When you think about 56 wins, that's a huge deal,” said Gibbs, Hamlin's longtime car owner.

Hamlin said he hung on throughout as Byron and others looked like they might pull out victory. Instead, Hamlin waited out his time and then pounced as he broke away during the green-white-checkered finish.

“I can still do it, I can do it at a high level and look forward to winning a lot of races this year,” Hamlin said.

Hamlin won for a second straight week after his success at Martinsville.

Hamlin chose the outside lane for a final restart and shot out to the lead and pulled away from series points leader Byron and NASCAR wins leader Christopher Bell.

Hamlin looked like he'd have a strong finish, but not a winning one as Ryan Blaney passed Tyler Reddick for the lead with three laps left. But moments later, Kyle Larson spun out forcing a final caution and the extra laps.

It was then time for Hamlin's Joe Gibbs Racing pit crew to shine as it got him out quickly and in the lead.

Byron, who led the first 243 laps, was second with Hamlin's JGR teammate Bell in third.

“There are two people I really love right now, my pit crew and Kyle Larson,” Hamlin said to a round of boos from those in the stands.

Reddick was fourth and Blaney was fifth. The rest of the top 10 finishers were Chris Buescher, Ross Chastain, Chase Elliott, Ty Gibbs and Kyle Busch.

Hamlin credited the past two victories to his pit crew.

“The pit crew just did an amazing job,” he said. “They won it last week, they won it this week. It's all about them.”

Blaney had thought he was clear to his first-ever Darlington victory after getting by Reddick late. When he saw the caution flag for Larson's spin, he said he thought, “Oh, no! I thought we had the race won."

So did Byron, who sought was to become the first NASCAR driver in nearly 25 years to lead every lap on the way to victory. He got shuffled down the standings during the last round of green-flag pit stops and could not recover.

“It was looking like it was going to be a perfect race and we were going to lead every lap,” he said.

But once “we lost control, it was too late to get back up there,” Byron said.

Kyle Larson, who won the Southern 500 here in 2023, had high hopes for a second Darlington win. But he slid into the inside wall coming off the second turn on lap three and went right to garage where his team worked the next couple of hours to get him back on track. Larson returned on lap 164 after falling 161 laps off the pace. Larson finished next to last in 37th.

Greg Biffle, the last NASCAR driver to win consecutive Cup Series victories at Darlington in 2006 and 2007, drove the pace car for the Goodyear 400 on Sunday. Biffle has had an eventful few months, flying rescue missions with his helicopter into areas of the Southeast affected by devastating Hurricane Helene in September.

Biffle was planning a weeklong trip to the Bahamas when his phone started going off about people stranded in parts of Western North Carolina.

“I went to the hangar and the power was out,” Biffle said. “We got the hangar down open with the tug and got the helicopter out. Once I got in the air, I realized what had taken place."

Biffle then flew the next 11 days from “sunup to sundown."

“It was incredible,” Biffle said. “It was pretty tough going for the first week.”

Biffle won the Myers Brothers Humanitarian Award for his work.

The series goes to Bristol on April 13 before taking its traditional Easter break.

AP NASCAR: https://apnews.com/hub/nascar-racing

Former driver Greg Biffle checks out the pace car before the start of a NASCAR Cup Series auto race at Darlington Raceway, Sunday, April 6, 2025, in Darlington, S.C. (AP Photo/Scott Kinser)

Former driver Greg Biffle checks out the pace car before the start of a NASCAR Cup Series auto race at Darlington Raceway, Sunday, April 6, 2025, in Darlington, S.C. (AP Photo/Scott Kinser)

Former driver Greg Biffle poses with the pace car before the start of a NASCAR Cup Series auto race at Darlington Raceway, Sunday, April 6, 2025, in Darlington, S.C. (AP Photo/Scott Kinser)

Former driver Greg Biffle poses with the pace car before the start of a NASCAR Cup Series auto race at Darlington Raceway, Sunday, April 6, 2025, in Darlington, S.C. (AP Photo/Scott Kinser)

NASCAR crew chief Matt Kelley walks out to pit road before the Goodyear 400, Sunday, April 6, 2025, in Darlington, S.C. (AP Photo/Scott Kinser)

NASCAR crew chief Matt Kelley walks out to pit road before the Goodyear 400, Sunday, April 6, 2025, in Darlington, S.C. (AP Photo/Scott Kinser)

Fans sign the start/finish line at before a NASCAR Cup Series auto race at Darlington Raceway, Sunday, April 6, 2025, in Darlington, S.C. (AP Photo/Scott Kinser)

Fans sign the start/finish line at before a NASCAR Cup Series auto race at Darlington Raceway, Sunday, April 6, 2025, in Darlington, S.C. (AP Photo/Scott Kinser)

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